A Leaked Ukraine Plan That Could Have Been Written By the Kremlin

Russian President Vladimir Putin with Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, Director of the Federal Secret Service Alexander Bortnikov, and Foreign Intelligence Service Director Sergei Naryshkin. Image: kremlin.ru / Wikimedia Commons / CC BY 4.0

This morning, I read a disturbing article in Strana that discusses a leaked “plan” allegedly by the United States that looks like it was written by the Kremlin. A plan that would reward Russia's genocidal full-scale invasion. A plan that is spitting at the graves of all Ukrainians who have sacrificed their lives to defend their sovereignty, freedoms, democracy, and European security—because if Russia senses a victory, its bloody imperialist ambitions will not stop, and NATO countries will be in the crosshairs of potential Russian invasions. I really hope what was leaked is not true, but in the case that it is I’m listing the details.

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The Alleged 100-Day “Peace” Schedule

In recent days, political and diplomatic circles in Ukraine have been actively discussing a rumored schedule for ending Russia’s genocidal war in 100 days, allegedly drawn up by Trump and his team. It is claimed, but not verified, that this plan was handed over by the Americans to several European diplomats, and from those diplomats, it eventually reached Ukrainian officials.

At this moment, there is no confirmation of the authenticity of this so-called “plan.” It could indeed be a real blueprint drawn up by Trump’s team, or it might be compiled based on the “Kellogg plan” that was made public last year before the U.S. presidential elections. Observers have pointed to signs that suggest both possibilities.

Nevertheless, given the growing public attention to any possible “peace settlement,” the details as they are rumored to stand have been circulated. Below is a summary of what this alleged “schedule” entails:

1. Late January/Early February: Trump-Putin Phone Call
   Trump is said to be planning a call with Vladimir Putin at the end of January or the start of February.

2. Early February: Discussions with Ukraine
   After initial communication with Moscow, Trump is supposedly planning to discuss the proposal with Ukrainian authorities.

3. Negotiations: Potential Pause or Continuation
   Depending on whether Washington can find common ground with both Moscow and Kyiv, the process may either pause or proceed.

4. Zelensky Must Cancel Ban on Negotiations
   An essential step in continuing negotiations: Volodymyr Zelensky would be required to rescind the Ukrainian decree prohibiting official talks with Vladimir Putin.

5. February-Mid March 2025: Meeting(s) Between Trump, Zelensky, and Putin

   • Possibility of one trilateral summit or two separate bilateral meetings.

   • The main parameters of the peace plan would be approved.

   • Special commissioners would then do the detailed work on an official agreement.

6. Ongoing Military Aid
   While negotiations are ongoing and hostilities continue, Trump would not block the sending of military aid to Ukraine.

7. April 20, 2025 (Easter): Proposed Truce

   • A ceasefire would be declared along the entire front line.

   • All Ukrainian troops should be withdrawn from the Kursk region (a territory within Russia, though the demands and context here remain unclear).

8. Late April 2025: International Peace Conference

   • The conference would formalize an agreement to end the war in Ukraine with mediation from the U.S., China, several European countries, and representatives of the Global South.

9. End of April: Prisoner Exchange

   • The exchange of prisoners begins under the formula “all for all.”

10. May 9: Declaration on Ending the War

• The International Peace Conference is supposed to issue a joint declaration ending the war in Ukraine based on pre-agreed parameters.

11. Post-May 9: End of Martial Law and Mobilization in Ukraine

• Under this plan, Ukraine would not extend martial law or continue mobilization beyond this date.

12. Ukrainian Elections

• Presidential elections at the end of August.

• Parliamentary and local elections at the end of October.

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Proposed Parameters of the Agreement

1. Neutrality and Non-Membership in NATO
   Ukraine would not join NATO and must formally declare neutrality. This would be ratified at a NATO summit.

2. EU Membership by 2030
   The European Union commits to integrating Ukraine by 2030 and promises to support the country’s post-war reconstruction.

3. No Reduction of the Ukrainian Army
   Ukraine retains the right to maintain a large standing army. The United States would continue to support the modernization of Ukraine’s Armed Forces.

4. Occupied Territories
   Ukraine would cease military or diplomatic attempts to reclaim occupied territories—though it would not formally recognize Russian sovereignty over them.

5. Sanctions Regime

   • Some sanctions against Russia are lifted immediately upon the conclusion of a peace agreement.

   • Others are phased out over three years, contingent on Russia’s adherence to the deal.

   • All restrictions on Russian energy exports to the EU would end, but a special European duty would be imposed for a set period, directing proceeds toward Ukraine’s reconstruction.

6. Political Freedoms in Ukraine

   • Parties that advocate for the Russian language and “peaceful coexistence” with Russia must be allowed to participate in elections.

   • Any state-level actions against the Ukrainian Orthodox Church (UOC) with ties to Moscow, or against the use of the Russian language, must cease.

7. European Peacekeeping Contingent

   • Kyiv demands an international (European) peacekeeping force as a security guarantee.

   • Russia has categorically opposed it.

   • Separate consultations would be needed to resolve this critical sticking point.

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A Final Word: Europe Must Step Up

With these swirling reports and rumors, one thing is clear: Europe must step up and ensure Ukraine’s sovereignty.

Ukraine’s sovereignty is not only a moral imperative; it’s also a linchpin for European security. A Russian victory, or even the perception of one, would only embolden further aggression. Now more than ever, Europe must unite, increase its support for Ukraine, and make sure Russia is defeated in Ukraine. This is the only way forward for the security of Ukraine and Europe.